BTC vs Global Liquidity Stress Analysis

Indicator Overview

The Global Liquidity Stress Indicator measures market stress by analyzing liquidity momentum across short, medium, and long timeframes. It outputs a Stress Composite Score and classifies conditions into four levels: This adaptive, multi-timeframe approach enables early detection of stress buildup or relief.
  1. Severe Stress (Red)
  2. Moderate Stress (Orange)
  3. Mild Stress (Yellow)
  4. Normal (Green)
This adaptive, multi-timeframe approach enables early detection of stress buildup or relief.

Core Methodology

  1. Calculates 3 Rate-of-Change (ROC) signals across fast, medium, and slow timeframes
  2. Each ROC is scaled and smoothed (12–14 periods), then blended to form the Stress Composite
  3. Stress thresholds are dynamically adjusted using a volatility-based modifier
  4. A 4-period ROC on the composite tracks stress trend direction

Key Components

  1. Multi-Timeframe ROC: Fast (weighted most), Medium, and Slow ROCs reflect short to long-term liquidity trends
  2. Stress Composite:  Weighted formula: (Fast × 0.5) + (Medium × 0.3) + (Slow × 0.2)
  3. Volatility Adjusted Thresholds: Adaptive factor based on rolling volatility defines stress zone boundaries
  4. Trend Overlay: Trend direction derived from short-term momentum of the composite

How To Use This Indicator

  • Interpret Stress Zones:
    Red = Severe stress (risk-off), Orange = Moderately elevated, Yellow = Cautionary, Green = Normal conditions
  • Watch for Trend Direction:
    Fading colors suggest easing stress; brightening colors indicate rising stress
  • Visual Representation:
    Color-coded zones (green to red) show stress level; opacity shifts reflect momentum; ideal as an overlay on asset charts like BTC

Created By

Alpha Extract in May 2025