31/7/2024
The U.S. Treasury is set to borrow $740B in Q3 2024, targeting an end-of-September cash balance of $850 billion.
This includes issuing long-term securities to finance it.
Additionally, they are managing liquidity with short-term bills through regular weekly bill auctions and cash management bills (CMBs).
Short-term bills are the thing to look at as they require frequent refinancing, pushing more liquidity from the TGA into the market.
Attached below you see a chart displayed on Bitcoin and the impacts of each QRA release, note that they indicate a shift in the market, even if short-term.